MORE INFORMATIONSanchez decides to submit Budgets after the electoral defeat in Andalusia territorial Leaders socialists warn of the impact of the crisis in Catalonia
The andalusian, with a lousy result that no one saw it coming in The Moncloa, have changed the scenario. The Executive tries to regain the initiative in order to dispel the image that they have installed PP and Citizens of total surrender to the pro-independence. Why submit Budgets. If they leave, it will consolidate the project. If they fall, most likely right now, it will show that there is covenant hidden with the pro-independence, and prepare the ground for a possible advance of elections.
the presentation of The Budgets in January, announced by the president of the Government Tuesday night in an interview on Tele 5, in schedule of maximum audience, is the hard strike as a response to the failure in andalusia and meets several objectives, according to both Government sources and the PSOE. The first is to show the capacity of reaction and above all autonomy. If until now, the president said that they were not to submit to “non-stun”, it will now be made to exhibit that the Government mark your calendar regardless of what others do, especially the independents, are still without compromising its support to the accounts.
In fact, the decision of Sanchez not to submit Budgets if there was no support, confirmed for 20 days, sat poorly in some sectors of the Government and the PSOE, because it meant renouncing to defend the main project of the Executive. In the Ministry of Finance, led by Maria Jesus Montero, were still working on the technical design of the accounts to the possibility that the president change his mind, as has happened after the andalusian.
The accounts are already almost finalised and the pact with United we Can and with the PNV is also very advanced, but are still lacking the independence. It would be enough that the PDeCAT, apparently the more bone hard nut to crack, to submit an amendment to the whole, so that budgets were to fall in a few weeks. This type of amendments are to be voted on in aggregate form, that is, if you add up the votes of the initiatives of the PP and of Citizens, that are safe, of PDeCAT, already do not pass the first filter.
In the Government and the PSOE still does not rule out that by the end of January or beginning of February, when the key vote, the catalans change their mind. The fear of the derechización of Spanish politics with the emergence of Vox should give pause to the independents, they hold in the Executive. But no one is encouraged to make projections to the enormous political complexity of making decisions in full the judgment of the procés, and in an environment exacerbated now by the hunger strike of some prisoners for independence.
If PDeCAT and CKD, finally cut down the accounts, the Government already has built in speech to advance the elections. The super Sunday of may, with regional, municipal, european, and general, comes every day more and more strength. In front of the inconveniences faced and the resistance of the barons to the idea, others stress the huge advantage of having all the party mobilized. All play since that day, since the last council member to the regional governments.
The PSOE would go to those elections with a clear message: there is no pact with the independents, as it would prove the failure of the accounts, and these Budgets would be the socialist project that will run if he has the votes to do so. In the PSOE do not hide the concern that has generated the result of andalusian, but trust that in the next election there will be a lot more mobilization of the left —you now know that the real risk is that comes to power a right-more right than ever— and that also do not commit the same mistakes in Andalusia.
In the Government and the socialist leadership believe that the campaign lost control of the story in front of the PP and Citizens. And are already working to get it back. Susana Díaz, president of andalusia, enjoyed full autonomy to make lists, to bring forward the date of elections and designing the strategy, which obviated the issue of hot national debate: Catalonia. In Andalusia, on the contrary, they blame Sanchez for his failure precisely for getting too close to the independentistas.
territorial Leaders of the PSOE, among which there are both supporters and detractors of Sanchez, agree that now they need to reinforce the idea that socialists have been confronted at all times the challenge secessionist. Members of the federal leadership and leaders from the autonomous region, believe that it has been stressed that the socialists supported the application of article 155 of the Constitution. Now it will use the Budgets, if you do not leave, to move that image of autonomy, independence can be key to the upcoming elections.