Marianne Björklund: trade wars at a critical stage

On Monday launched the new handelssamtal in Beijing between the united states and China. After several failed attempts, there remains now just over two weeks before march 1, when the U.S. president threatened further tariffs on chinese products if you do not agree.

Much is at stake for both parties. The chinese economy is facing a slowdown as a risk to späs on exports encounter several obstacles, Trump has already raised tariffs in several rounds. The growth rate is not as high and now is looking his pessimism also down in konsumentleden. This year, sales fell during the chinese new year celebrations to its lowest level in ten years, one of several signs that confidence in the economy is on the decline.

struggling to get his / her boundary wall funded in congress would need to have some positive news to with out to the people. Trade wars has put a damper on the mood and kept the financial markets cautious. A solution to the conflict with China would be received in joy on the stock exchange and give Trump the opportunity to beat their chest.

But several difficult issues remain to be resolved. It is not at least about the USA's demands on China strengthens protection of intellectual property rights and to stop stealing trade secrets. This is a complex matter that China may need a longer time to solve. Other requirements from the US side might be easier to accommodate, at least in words. This includes the country opens up its market more to foreign companies, and stop distorting the competition with state-subsidised companies.

when the talks began was a certain optimism can be discerned. This was, inter alia, to Kellyanne Conway, an adviser in the White House, in an interview with Fox News said that it seems that the US and China approaching a trade agreement. Conway also said that Trump and chinese president Xi Jinping may get to meet very soon. It contravenes previous statements from the Trump if he has no plans to meet Xi Jinping before 1 march. A unification between China and the united states is believed to be crowned by the two leaders meet.

the Talks are expected to last throughout the week and the big players do not go into discussions until the end of the week when, among other things, U.S. treasury secretary Steven Mnuchin and China's vice president Liu He brings into the game.

not in place before 1 march is trade wars in full swing again. The united states has threatened to raise tariffs from 10% to 25% on chinese goods worth 200 billion dollars. This, in combination with Brexit and the weaker chinese economy would eclipse the state of the world economy significantly. With less trading and the threat of currency war would not at least less and the poor countries suffer. But neither Europe or the trade-dependent Sweden would go unaffected. Volvo has already entered the trade wars as a cause of lower röreslemarginaler.

another possible output, if the parties are approaching each other but not really going in the goal, is that the ceasefire will be extended and discussions continue.