"April and may will be warmer than normal."
"at Least if you believe a new american wxsim forecast."
"But the summer kallstartar with an unusually cool and wet June."
"Despite the fact that even femdygnsprognoser often precariously wobbly, there are väderföretag dedicated to check several months forward in time. "
"this kind of long-term forecasts is extremely limited and really says just about temperature and precipitation will deviate from normal. "
"The long-term forecasts as the american väderföretaget The Weather Company regularly presents includes both the united states and Europe. And, according to the latest forecast the next three months in the region to look like this:
"• April will be much warmer than normal."
"• May will be slightly warmer and wetter than normal."
"• June will be cooler and wetter than normal."
"the Company's chefsmeteorolog Todd Crawford writes in a comment that ”the colder and wetter conditions will develop over Scandinavia"
"Neither the state Swedish meteorological and hydrological institute or the private väderföretag which is active in Sweden, provides this long forecasts. "
"– We are dealing mostly with forecasts up to ten days, " said Marcus Sjöstedt, meteorologist at SMHI in Norrköping."
"How accurate are those forecasts that extend several months into the future?"
"– the Accuracy is not great, especially not here over northern Europe. They have become better in the last few years even for Europe, but they are not quite as good as they are at the equator or in north America."
"– Many of the slow processes that one uses for this type of forecasting is done along the equator and the Pacific ocean. And we are pretty far away from the equator. Therefore the accuracy is not as good for Europe."
"But that spring will be warmer than normal, should be a lågoddsare in a world where the climate is becoming increasingly warmer, or how?"
"– Just that we have a global trend, where we go towards a warmer climate, that does not mean that the coming months will be warmer. It can still occur months or years that stand out. Last year was the march's unusually cold, for example. "